Lagos State may witness a spike in the number of Covid-19 infections next month, Health Commissioner Prof Akin Abayomi said on Thursday.
The commissioner told reporters at Bagaulto Kaltho Press Centre, Alausa Secretariat, observed that such positions are a result of modelling carried out on the pandemic in the state.
He said: “Modelling is not always accurate. So, this is just a postulation and I hope Lagos State will soon flatten the curve.
“We are refining the model so that we can get a better grasp when the cases will peak and when we are likely to experience the downward trend of the outbreak.”
Abayomi also said the rapid diagnostic test has proven unreliable as there have been several contradicting results from its use.
The commissioner said: “Rapid diagnostic test has been put through a rigorous validation process and all tests have failed as they do not have enough accuracy that are reliable enough for the COVID-19 response.
“The test gives negative result when the patient is positive and vice versa, these misleading results have led to deaths of patients who are positive as they do not recognise the importance of being moved to the isolation facilities.
He, however, pointed out that the experience was not peculiar to Nigeria, as the World Health Organisation (WHO) has not been able to get a rapid diagnostic test certified for COVID-19 testing.
